Research and Publications
Click on each link for additional information, including abstracts, papers, appendices, pre-analysis plans, and replication data.
Books
The King Can Do No Wrong: Blame Games and Power Sharing in Authoritarian Regimes. 2024. Cambridge University Press.
Policy and Opposition in the Middle East’s Authoritarian Legislatures. (With Marwa Shalaby). Under Advance Contract with Cambridge University Press, Elements in Middle East Politics.
Journal Articles
People Consistenly View Elections and Civil Liberties as Key Components of Democracy. (With Jonathan A. Chu and Eddy S.F. Yeung). 2024. Science.
Respect the Process: The Public Cost of Unilateral Action in Comparative Perspective. (With Jonathan Chu). 2024 (Online First). Journal of Politics.
Executive Compliance with Parliamentary Powers under Authoritarianism: Evidence from Jordan. (With Marwa Shalaby). 2024. Governance.
Do Proxies Provide Plausible Deniability? Evidence from Experiments on Three Surveys. 2024. Journal of Conflict Resolution.
Learning from Null Effects: A Bottom-Up Approach. (With Ala’ Alrababa’h, Andrea Dillon, Jens Hainmueller, Dominik Hangartner, Michael Hotard, David Laitin, Duncan Lawrence, and Jeremy Weinstein). 2023. Political Analysis.
Preaching Politics: How Politicization Undermines Religious Authority in the Middle East. (With A.Kadir Yildirim, Sharan Grewal, and Mirjam Kuenkler). 2023. British Journal of Political Science.
Where’s the Money From? Attitudes toward Donor Countries and Foreign Aid in the Arab World. (With Renu Singh). 2022. International Studies Quarterly.
Refugees to the Rescue: Motivating Pro-Refugee Public Engagement during the COVID-19 Pandemic. (With Claire Adida, Adeline Lo, and Lauren Prather). 2022. Journal of Experimental Political Science.
Did Egypt's Post-Uprising Crime Wave Increase Support for Authoritarian Rule? (With Lisa Blaydes, Alexandra Domike Blackman, and Caroline Abadeer). 2022. Journal of Peace Research.
Signal Received? Authoritarian Elections and the Salience of Autocrats. (With Paul Schuler and Raphael Cunha). 2022. Electoral Studies.
Reporting All Results Efficiently: A RARE Proposal to Open Up the File Drawer. (With David Laitin, Edward Miguel, Ala’ Alrababa’h, Aleksandar Bogdanoski, Sean Grant, Katherine Hoeberling, Cecilia Hyunjung Mo, Don A. Moore, Simine Vazire, and Jeremy Weinstein). 2021. PNAS.
Elections, Legitimacy, and Compliance in Authoritarian Regimes: Evidence from the Arab World. 2021. Democratization.
Family Matters: How Immigrant Histories Can Promote Inclusion. (With Claire L. Adida, Adeline Lo, Melina Platas, Lauren Prather, and Seth Werfel). 2021. American Political Science Review.
Contesting Narratives of Repression: Experimental Evidence from Sisi's Egypt. (With Mashail Malik). 2020. Journal of Peace Research.
Attitudes toward Migrants in a Highly-Impacted Economy: Evidence from the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Jordan. (With Ala’ Alrababa’h, Andrea Dillon, Jens Hainmueller, Dominik Hangartner, and Jeremy Weinstein). 2020. Comparative Political Studies.
Legislatures and Policy Making in Authoritarian Regimes. (With Beatriz Magaloni). 2020. Comparative Political Studies.
Countering Misperceptions to Reduce Prejudice: An Experiment on Attitudes toward Muslim Americans. 2020. Journal of Experimental Political Science.
Voting in Transition: Participation and Alienation in Egypt's 2012 Presidential Election. 2018. Middle East Law and Governance. (With Alexandra Domike Blackman and Caroline Abadeer).
Reporting Null Results
Does Sectarian Threat Weaken Support for Democracy in Egypt? 2022. (With Alexandra Domike Blackman).
Improving Attitudes toward Refugees in Jordan. 2020. (With Ala’ Alrababa’h, Andrea Dillon, Jens Hainmueller, Dominik Hangartner, and Jeremy Weinstein).
Working papers
When Hearts Meet Minds: Complementary Effects of Perspective-Getting and Information on Refugee Inclusion. (With Claire Adida, Adeline Lo, Melina Platas, and Lauren Prather). Conditionally Accepted at Political Science Research & Methods.
Who Gets the Guns? How Democratic Values and Security Threats Affect American Attitudes toward Military Aid. Revise & Resubmit.
Anti-Americanism and Foreign Aid Preferences Among Politicians: Evidence from Tunisia (With Alexandra Blackman, Aytuğ Şaşmaz, and Renu Singh). Under Review.
It's Good to Be King: Ruler Type and Perceptions of Democracy in Authoritarian Regimes. Under Review.
The Limits of Sympathy: How Age and Family Status Affect Attitudes toward Refugee Children. (With Kerim Can Kavakli). Under Review.
Age Gaps Between Political Leaders and the Public Can Undermine Support for Democracy. (With Alonso Roman Amarales and Luca Bellodi). Under Review.
Crisis Performance, Hegemonic Preferences, and Support for Democracy: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic. (With Renu Singh and Jonathan Chu).
Data
Mapping Cairo: An Exploration of Egypt's Socio-Political Geography. (With Alexandra Blackman and Caroline Abadeer).
other SElected Publications
How different people around the world understand democracy - and why it matters. 2024. The Conversation. (With Jonathan Chu and Eddy Yeung).
Autocratic Blame Games. 2023. The Loop, European Consortium for Political Research.
Americans see Afghan and Ukrainian refugees very differently. Why? 2022. The Monkey Cage Blog, The Washington Post. (With Claire Adida, Adeline Lo, Melina Platas, and Lauren Prather).
Popular Politics in Egypt: From the 2011 Revolution to Al-Sisi’s Authoritarian Revival. What Do Political Scientists Say? 2021. The Project on Middle East Democracy.
When Americans recall their roots, they open up to immigration. 2021. The Conversation. (With Claire Adida, Adeline Lo, Melina Platas, and Lauren Prather).
Coronavirus and Prospects for Instability in Egypt. 2020. Sada, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. (With Renu Singh). Arabic.
Separating Islam from Politics but Not the State: Implications for Religious Authority in Jordan. 2019. Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Jordan shut out 60,000 Syrian refugees - and then saw a backlash. This is why. 2018. The Monkey Cage Blog, The Washington Post. (With Ala’ Alrababa’h).
Discourses on Muslims and Welfare across the Atlantic. 2015. In Race, Ethnicity, and Welfare States: An American Dilemma? Edited by Sonya Michel, Klaus Pedersen, and Pauli Kettunen. Northampton, Mass: Edward Elgar. (With Abdulkader Sinno, Eren Tatari, Antje Schwennicke, and Hicham Bou Nassif).
Transitional Justice Falters in Tunisia. 2015. Sada, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Divining Divisions in Egypt's Deep State. 2015. Political Violence @ a Glance.
Sisi's Dilemma. 2014. Sada, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Republished in the Cairo Review of Global Affairs.
How Democracy Could Return to Egypt. 2014. Muftah.
Egypt's Unprecedented Instability by the Numbers. 2014. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. (With Michele Dunne).
Protest, Uprising, and Regime Change in the Arab Spring. 2014. Muftah. (With Caroline Abadeer).